DeSart model in Missouri: Trump with clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 42.5% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 57.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.8 percentage points less and Trump has 2.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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