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DeSart model: In Missouri trails by a clear margin


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.5% for Clinton and 57.5% for Trump in Missouri.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 2.8 percentage points less and Trump has 2.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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