DeSart model: In Mississippi trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.4% for Clinton and 58.6% for Trump in Mississippi.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 4.7 percentage points less and Trump has 4.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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