DeSart model: In Maine trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 44.3% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 0.6 percentage points more and Trump has 0.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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