DeSart model: In Louisiana trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 38.4% for Clinton and 61.6% for Trump in Louisiana.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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