DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 4.6 percentage points less and Trump has 4.6 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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