The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 48.0% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will win 52.1%.
Historically, Florida has been a swing state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions in this state are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.5 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 2.6 percentage points less and Trump has 2.6 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Florida.