DeSart model: In Delaware trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton and 8.1% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 36.5 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 36.5 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 36.7 percentage points more and Trump has 36.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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