DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton with clear lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 42.7%. In comparison, on August 11 Trump was predicted to obtain 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Delaware has Clinton at 55.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.9 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 2.1 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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