The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 42.7%. In comparison, on August 11 Trump was predicted to obtain 8.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Delaware has Clinton at 55.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.9 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 2.1 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.