DeSart model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will collect 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 55.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.6 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 2.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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