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DeSart model in California: Clinton with clear lead


The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton and 40.1% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 56.6% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in California. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 3.3 percentage points worse.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in California, which is 0.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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