DeSart model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton and 40.1% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 3.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 3.3 percentage points.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 0.2 percentage points more and Trump has 0.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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