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DeSart model in Arkansas: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton will collect 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 65.2%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 6.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 6.6 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 8.2 percentage points less and Trump has 8.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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