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DeSart model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton and 57.3% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.1 percentage points.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 3.3 percentage points less and Trump has 3.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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