DeSart model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 35.8% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will end up with 64.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Alabama sees Trump at 59.3% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 4.9 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Alabama, which is 4.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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