DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Massachusetts

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.6% for Clinton and 37.4% for Trump in Massachusetts.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 1.5 percentage points less and Trump has 1.5 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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