DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Maryland

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 61.4% for Clinton and 38.6% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less and Trump has 3.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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