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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Hawaii


The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 6.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 6.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 2.3 percentage points more and Trump has 2.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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