The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 6.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 6.0 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 2.3 percentage points more and Trump has 2.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Hawaii.