DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 8.1%. In comparison, on August 11 Trump was still predicted to achieve 42.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 89.2%. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.8 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 90.3%.