DeSart model: Clinton with small lead in New Mexico

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 53.0% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 47.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 0.3 percentage points less and Trump has 0.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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