DeSart model: Clinton with small lead in Michigan

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump in Michigan.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 1.4 percentage points less and Trump has 1.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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