DeSart model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Illinois

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 46.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Illinois has Clinton at 54.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.4 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.3% in Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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