DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Maine
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 44.3% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 0.6 percentage points more and Trump has 0.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.