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DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Connecticut


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.6 percentage points.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 2.1 percentage points more and Trump has 2.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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