DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Connecticut
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.6 percentage points.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 2.1 percentage points more and Trump has 2.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.