DeSart model: Clinton in Idaho trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.4% for Clinton and 69.6% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Idaho econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 68.7%. This value is 0.9 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho, which is 5.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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