Delaware: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Delaware has Clinton at 55.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 43.6 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 43.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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