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Colorado: Trump and Clinton neck-and-neck in latest DeSart model


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton and 49.7% for Trump in Colorado.

Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.7 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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