Colorado: Trump and Clinton neck-and-neck in latest DeSart model
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton and 49.7% for Trump in Colorado.
Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts here are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.7 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Colorado.