The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 68.0% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will win 32.0%.
In Colorado, the election outcome is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 16.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 16.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 13.8 percentage points more and Trump has 13.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Colorado.