The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton and 49.7% for Trump in Colorado.
Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may include large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Colorado econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 52.1%. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.7 percentage points better.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Colorado.