Alaska: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton and 60.1% for Trump in Alaska.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they may include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 4.5 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 4.5 percentage points.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 0.7 percentage points more and Trump has 0.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Alaska.