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Alaska: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton and 60.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Alaska econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 64.6%. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 4.5 percentage points better.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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