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Rothschild model in Washington: Clinton with very clear lead


The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 95.0% for Clinton and 5.0% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 54.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Washington. In comparison to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 40.9 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 40.0 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 42.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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