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Rothschild model in New Mexico: Clinton with very clear lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 84.0% for Clinton and 16.0% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in New Mexico sees Clinton at 52.6% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 31.4 percentage points worse.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 30.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in New Mexico. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 31.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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