The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in New Jersey.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of New Jersey econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 57.3%. This value is 41.7 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in New Jersey, which is 41.6 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 46.2 percentage points higher.