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Rothschild model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 76.0% for Clinton and 24.0% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 55.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Minnesota. Compared to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 21.0 percentage points worse.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Minnesota, which is 21.2 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 23.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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