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Rothschild model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

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The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 87.0% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 13.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 53.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Michigan. This value is 33.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 32.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.3% in Michigan. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 34.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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