The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 98.0% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 2.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 55.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Connecticut. Relative to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 42.9 percentage points lower.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 43.5 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 45.2 percentage points higher.