Putting the results in context

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will garner 51.6% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 48.4%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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