Oregon: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 95.0% for Clinton and 5.0% for Trump in Oregon.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Oregon has Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 40.9 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 41.0 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 42.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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