The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton and 55.7% for Trump in North Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.7% in North Dakota.