Who is likely to triumph in the US presidential elections at the national level? The PollyVote team asked political scientists.
The expert survey was carried out from July 29 to July 31 with 12 scientists from several colleges and universities. The experts’ mean forecast is that Clinton will win with 52.7% of the national major-party vote.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 0.2 percentage points less and Trump has 0.2 percentage points more when the results of the expert survey are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.