Minnesota: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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