Michigan: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will collect 52.5% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 47.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Michigan, which is 1.3 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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