Massachusetts: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 62.6% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will win 37.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they often include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.1% in Massachusetts.