The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 97.0% for Clinton and 3.0% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 55.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 41.6 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 42.4 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 44.2 percentage points higher.