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Maine: Rothschild model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 97.0% for Clinton and 3.0% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 55.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 41.6 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 42.4 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 44.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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