Jerome model: Trump with clear lead in Kansas

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 43.8% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 56.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kansas, which is 2.0 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.