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Jerome model: Trump in Michigan trails by a moderate margin

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Michigan.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Michigan, which is 1.3 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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