Jerome model in New Jersey: Clinton with clear lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.7% for Clinton and 42.3% for Trump in New Jersey.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.3% in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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