Jerome model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will collect 41.6% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will end up with 58.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can include substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 61.1% in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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