Jerome model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 52.6%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 54.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri, which is 2.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.